[Jdm-society] overconfidence and incentives

[David Budescu]

  Please send me the paper.
         Thanks in advance

         David

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
|	David V. Budescu					|
|	Department of Psychology, University of Illinois	|
|	603 E. Daniel Street, Champaign, IL 61820		|
|	Tel (217) 333 6758 or (217) 840 1586			|
|	Fax (217) 244 5876	Email: dbudescu at uiuc.edu 	|
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> -----Original Message-

On Mon, 30 Apr 2007, Jennifer Lerner wrote:

> Elke et al.,
>
> If you'd like, I can send you a review showing that the type of incentive
> matters when examining accountability and overconfidence.  A few examples:
> Tetlock & Kim (1987) showed that accountability decreased overconfidence
> (poor calibration) without cost to resolution in a personality prediction
> task, unless participants learned of being accountability only after
> exposure to the evidence.  Kassin et al. (1991) found that accountability
> improved the accuracy-confidence correlation in a study of eyewitnesses'
> confidence in their testimony.  And Siegel-Jacobs & Yates (1996) found that
> accountability improved calibration under process-, but not
> outcome-accountability.  Many moderators, as you can see.
>
> Lerner & Tetlock (1999) Accounting for the effects of accountability.
> Psychological Bulletin
>
> Best,
> Jenn
>